{"id":18643,"date":"2024-05-07T03:02:43","date_gmt":"2024-05-07T03:02:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/energybuzz.ph\/staging\/6915\/agricultural-output-seen-flat-in-q1-as-el-nino-bites\/"},"modified":"2024-05-07T03:02:43","modified_gmt":"2024-05-07T03:02:43","slug":"agricultural-output-seen-flat-in-q1-as-el-nino-bites","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/energybuzz.ph\/staging\/6915\/agricultural-output-seen-flat-in-q1-as-el-nino-bites\/","title":{"rendered":"Agricultural output seen flat in Q1 as El Ni\u00f1o bites"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

THE PHILIPPINES\u2019 agricul<\/span>tural output may have been f<\/span>lat in the f<\/span>irst quarter amid the impact of the El Ni\u00f1o dry spell on the sector, especially on palay production, analysts said.<\/p>\n

\u201cFirst-quarter agricultural output in terms of growth should be around 1.8%. It could have been higher, but El Ni\u00f1o contributed to a lack of water, thereby lowering output,\u201d former Agriculture Secretary William D. Dar said in a text message.<\/span><\/p>\n

If realized, this would be slower than the 2.1% year-on-year growth in the value of farm output in the first quarter of 2023, but faster than the 0.7% expansion in October-to-December 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n

Agriculture accounts for about a tenth of gross domestic product and about a quarter of all jobs. The Philippine Statistics Authority will release f<\/span>irst-quarter agriculture and f<\/span>ishery production data on May 8.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe overall growth may register a positive <\/span>f<\/span>igure, but it may remain <\/span>f<\/span>lat \u2014 close to 0.5-1%, mirroring 2023 figures,\u201d Roy S. Kempis, director of the Center for Business Innovation at Angeles University said in a Viber message.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Raul Q. Montemayor, national manager of the Federation of Free Farmers, said farm output could have contracted amid dry conditions.<\/p>\n

\u201cClimatic disturbances have adversely affected agriculture in the past few months, so I would not be surprised to see a decline in overall agriculture growth in the f<\/span>irst quarter,\u201d he said in a Viber message.<\/p>\n

He said the impact of the weather event is expected to last until this quarter.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe will see the total ef<\/span>fects only when the situation normalizes, probably in the second semester,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n

As of April 30, agricultural damage from El Ni\u00f1o had reached P5.9 billion, according to the latest bulletin from the Department of Agriculture (DA).<\/p>\n

The agency said volume losses of farm goods had reached 255,467 metric tons (MT), with rice being the most af<\/span>fected crop, accounting for 53.2% of the total.<\/p>\n

The state weather bureau said while the El Ni\u00f1o event is weakening, its effects are expected to last until August.<\/p>\n

RICE, CROPS MOST AFFECTED
\n<\/b>Mr. Dar said rice production have declined during the dry season harvest.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis will af<\/span>fect our rice supply during the lean months of the year. The same for corn \u2014 it is af<\/span>fected by El Ni\u00f1o, thereby output will be lower,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

\u201c(The) government must invest more in water-harvesting structures including solar-powered irrigation systems, as well as the construction of more e<\/span>ff<\/span>icient irrigation systems,\u201d Mr. Dar added.<\/span><\/p>\n

Crops account for over half of the value of farm output in the country, with palay or unmilled rice\u2019s share at\u00a0 <\/span>30% and corn at 5.5%.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe lack of rain starting February and the rise of temperature towards March 2024 were detrimental to the crop sector,\u201d Mr. Kempis said.<\/span><\/p>\n

He added that the dry spell hit crops, mainly rice and corn, during their maturing and reproductive stages. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cEl Ni\u00f1o affected production during the reproductive and maturity stages in palay. In corn, one end (the tips) of many corn ears where the silks come out were damaged such that these were considered rejects,\u201d Mr. Kempis said, citing DA reports. <\/span><\/p>\n

Agriculture Assistant Secretary and Spokesperson Arnel V. de Mesa said the country\u2019s unmilled rice production is unlikely to fall below 20 million MT this year despite the dry weather.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cOur target is similar or a little over what we harvested last year of 20.06 million MT,\u201d he told BusinessWorld.<\/i><\/span><\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the fishery sector likely continued to contract in the first quarter, the analyst said.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cWith the <\/span>f<\/span>ishing ban in e<\/span>f<\/span>fect partly covering the <\/span>f<\/span>irst quarter plus the limited access to traditional <\/span>f<\/span>ishing grounds in the West Philippine Sea, output ii the <\/span>f<\/span>ishery sector will not produce positive results,\u201d Mr. Kempis said.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fishery production in the <\/span>f<\/span>irst quarter was a<\/span>f<\/span>fected by both El Ni\u00f1o and the closed <\/span>f<\/span>ishing season, Mr. Dar said.<\/span><\/p>\n

The government imposes a three-month closed season to repopulate certain <\/span>f<\/span>ish species. Fishing bans are declared in Northern Palawan, Ilocos, Negros Occidental, Capiz and Cebu in the fourth quarter.<\/span><\/p>\n

Closed seasons are authorized by Republic Act No. 8550 or the Fisheries Code.<\/span><\/p>\n

The DA approved a fish import quota of 25,000 MT for the fourth quarter to boost supply.<\/span><\/p>\n

LIVESTOCK, POULTRY
\n<\/b><\/span>As for livestock and poultry, Mr. Kempis said higher temperatures might have had a limited impact on these sectors.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cWhile temperatures could affect backyard production of livestock and poultry, these are more stable (nonfluctuating); with good management of <\/span>livestock and poultry, production in the backyard sector will be a source of growth,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, Mr. Dar said the African Swine Fever (ASF) remains a major problem for hog farmers. \u201cIntensity management and control is needed,\u201d he added. <\/span><\/p>\n

President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. said earlier the government would roll out ASF vaccines from Vietnam by June or July.<\/span><\/p>\n

As of April 15, there were four regions included in the red zone spanning <\/span>f<\/span>ive provinces or 10 municipalities, according to the Bureau of Animal Industry (BAI). Red zones are areas with con<\/span>f<\/span>irmed ASF outbreaks,<\/span><\/p>\n

Gregorio A. San Diego, Jr., chairman emeritus of the United Broiler Raisers Association, said poultry production declined during the period, resulting in higher imports. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThere is a dip in performance especially for conventional poultry houses, but our bigger problem is the oversupply for broiler and more so with eggs that have resulted in very low farmgate prices,\u201d he said in a Viber message. <\/span><\/p>\n

Chicken imports totaled 128.51 million kilograms in the <\/span>f<\/span>irst quarter, according to the BAI. Shipments of turkey stood at 307,835 kilos and duck at 33,375 kilos. \u2014 Adrian H. Halili<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

THE PHILIPPINES\u2019 agricultural output may have been flat in the first quarter amid the impact of the El Ni\u00f1o dry spell on the sector, especially on palay production, analysts said. \u201cFirst-quarter agricultural output in terms of growth should be around 1.8%. It could have been higher, but El Ni\u00f1o contributed to a lack of water, [\u2026]<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[4235,17752,14644,12110,4294,5191,4778],"class_list":["post-18643","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-agricultural","tag-bites","tag-bworldonline","tag-flat","tag-nino","tag-output","tag-seen"],"yoast_head":"\nAgricultural output seen flat in Q1 as El Ni\u00f1o bites - Energy Buzz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/energybuzz.ph\/agricultural-output-seen-flat-in-q1-as-el-nino-bites\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Agricultural output seen flat in Q1 as El Ni\u00f1o bites - Energy Buzz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"THE PHILIPPINES\u2019 agricultural output may have been flat in the first quarter amid the impact of the El Ni\u00f1o dry spell on the sector, especially on palay production, analysts said. \u201cFirst-quarter agricultural output in terms of growth should be around 1.8%. 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